Thursday, May 7, 2015

TONIGHT(?) -- May 7, 2015 -- PROGRESS M-27M = Meteorite/Meteor?
Re-Entry Updates [May 8, 2015]
[04:00] USSTRATCOM issued a precise Re-Entry Confirmation for Progress M-27M showing orbital decay (80km passage) to have taken place at 02:20 UTC +/-1 Minute.

 This puts the location of re-entry 830 Kilometers off the Chilean Coast (Center of the window), but given the speed the object was traveling, the decay location may be anywhere from 350 to 1,300 Kilometers off the South American Coast.

Doomed Russian spacecraft  about to fall!
Current Position Tracking and Maps
The Progress M-27M cargo spacecraft originally intended to deliver food, fuel and supplies to the International Space Station is headed for an uncontrolled, untargeted re-entry after experiencing a failure early in its flight from which recovery was not possibly. Starting out in a Low Earth Orbit, the 7,289-Kilogram spacecraft is slowly approaching the atmosphere and will experience re-entry in the first half of May.  
Current Position Tracking and Maps
Object: Progress M-27M
Origin: Russia
Type: ISS Cargo Resupply Vehicle
Mass: 7,289kg (including 1,373kg fuel at launch, 2,357kg cargo)
Launched: April 28, 2015 - 7:09:50 UTC
Launch Site: 31/6 Baikonur Cosmodrome
Launch Vehicle: Soyuz 2-1A
Initial Orbit: 188 by 260 Kilometers, 51.65°
Current Re-Entry Predictions
 UTC Offset: UTC -7:00
(as of
May 7, 2015 6:30 PM [1:30AM UTC] )
USSTRATCOM: May 8, 2015 - 01:52 UTC +/-3 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 23:26]
Spaceflight101: May 8, 2015 - 02:34 UTC +/-2 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 23:30]
Satflare: May 8, 2015 - 01:55 UTC +/-2 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 18:30]
Ted Molczan: May 8, 2015 - 02:03 UTC +/-1.9 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 18:30]
Aerospace Corp: May 8 - 01:08 UTC +/-2 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 16:34]
Roscosmos: 22:13-01:51 UTC - May 7/8, 2015 [Issued: May 7 - 13:30] 
Progress 59 re-supply craft, launched April 28, quickly spun out of control. In the next day or two, it will fall from space and produce a fiery streak in our sky. How to track the spacecraft before re-entry, and what you might see if you are in the reentry area
Current forecasts predict that the Progress should fall to Earth in an uncontrolled, destructive nose-dive on Thursday (May 8) between 3:11 a.m. and 5:26 a.m. EDT (0711-0826 GMT). Some media reports from Russia are citing a Friday re-entry target. A more refined re-entry date and time will become available, according to experts tracking the spacecraft.
More here:

Current Position Tracking and Maps

Posted at 5/07/2015 06:18:00 PM